Wake Forest
W-L: (14-18) PR = 94.2363Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Radford BSO (23-13, 93.5) 71-64 1106 A Presbyterian BSO ( 2-28, 90.0) 78-41 1109 A Hampton CA ( 7-21, 92.1) 77-48 1113 A Mercer SO (16-13, 92.9) 66-61 1120 A NC Center MEAC ( 9-20, 91.3) 68-65 1123 A We Carolina SO ( 1-26, 89.5) 60-49 1126 A Morgan State MEAC ( 5-25, 90.9) 93-35 1127 A UCF B12 (11-20, 94.4) 65-60 1128 A Illinois St MV (23-13, 94.4) 57-44 1203 H Will&Mary CA (16-14, 93.2) 64-67 1207 H Georgetown BE (13-17, 94.5) 56-58 1214 A Georgia Tech ACC (14-19, 95.2) 57-56 1218 H Miami (Fl) ACC (18-15, 95.6) 61-64 1222 A Gardner-Webb BSO (12-20, 91.9) 78-66 101 A Pittsburgh ACC ( 7-22, 93.0) 74-55 104 H Syracuse ACC (22-10, 96.5) 58-73 108 H Stanford ACC (20-14, 95.7) 43-55 111 H California ACC (22-14, 95.9) 52-61 115 H NC State ACC (21-11, 96.6) 77-95 118 H Clemson ACC (21-12, 96.1) 71-78 124 H Va Tech ACC (23-10, 96.3) 57-85 129 H Virginia ACC (21-13, 96.1) 54-** 201 H Duke ACC (27- 9, 97.6) 44-80 205 A SMU ACC ( 9-21, 93.8) 70-65 208 H No Carolina ACC (28- 8, 97.4) 56-84 212 H Louisville ACC (29- 8, 97.5) 67-86 219 H Notre Dame ACC (25-11, 97.1) 54-78 222 A Boston Col ACC ( 5-26, 92.9) 79-65 226 H NC State ACC (21-11, 96.6) 56-65 301 H Florida St ACC (11-20, 94.8) 74-77 304 H California ACC (22-14, 95.9) 52-75 319 H MD-Ea Shore MEAC (20-15, 93.4) 48-59
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Radford 71-64 7 1 1.26
1106 A Presbyterian 78-41 37 4 0.00
1109 A Hampton 77-48 29 2 0.00
1113 A Mercer 66-61 5 1 0.71
1120 A NC Center 68-65 3 3 0.00
1123 A We Carolina 60-49 11 5 0.00
1126 A Morgan State 93-35 58 3 0.00
1127 A UCF 65-60 5 0 + 2.20
1128 A Illinois St 57-44 13 0 + 2.16
1203 H Will&Mary 64-67 -3 1 - -3.05
1207 H Georgetown 56-58 -2 0 -1.76
1214 A Georgia Tech 57-56 1 -1 1.94
1218 H Miami (Fl) 61-64 -3 -1 -0.62
1222 A Gardner-Webb 78-66 12 2 0.00
101 A Pittsburgh 74-55 19 1 0.74
104 H Syracuse 58-73 -15 -2 0.00
108 H Stanford 43-55 -12 -1 -0.51
111 H California 52-61 -9 -2 -0.33
115 H NC State 77-95 -18 -2 0.00
118 H Clemson 71-78 -7 -2 -0.17
124 H Va Tech 57-85 -28 -2 0.00
129 H Virginia 54-** -55 -2 -0.12
201 H Duke 44-80 -36 -3 0.00
205 A SMU 70-65 5 0 1.54
208 H No Carolina 56-84 -28 -3 0.00
212 H Louisville 67-86 -19 -3 0.00
219 H Notre Dame 54-78 -24 -3 0.00
222 A Boston Col 79-65 14 1 0.65
226 H NC State 56-65 -9 -2 0.00
301 H Florida St 74-77 -3 -1 -1.42
304 H California 52-75 -23 -2 -0.33
319 H MD-Ea Shore 48-59 -11 1 - -2.88
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1203 H Will&Mary 64-67 -3 1 - -3.05 319 H MD-Ea Shore 48-59 -11 1 - -2.88 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1127 A UCF 65-60 5 0 + 2.20 1128 A Illinois St 57-44 13 0 + 2.16 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Radford (23-13, 93.5) 71-64 -6.42 4.54 0.01 0.95 8.63
3 A Presbyterian ( 2-28, 90.0) 78-41 -9.92 1.04 0.01 0.95 2.00
3 A Hampton ( 7-21, 92.1) 77-48 -7.84 3.12 0.01 0.95 5.93
3 A Mercer (16-13, 92.9) 66-61 -6.96 4.00 0.01 0.95 7.60
3 A NC Center ( 9-20, 91.3) 68-65 -8.56 2.40 0.01 0.95 4.57
3 A We Carolina ( 1-26, 89.5) 60-49 -10.39 1.00 0.01 0.95 1.92
3 A Morgan State ( 5-25, 90.9) 93-35 -9.02 1.94 0.01 0.95 3.69
3 A UCF (11-20, 94.4) 65-60 -5.47 5.49 0.01 0.95 10.43
3 A Illinois St (23-13, 94.4) 57-44 -5.52 5.44 0.01 0.95 10.35
3 H Will&Mary (16-14, 93.2) 64-67 -6.70 4.26 -0.01 0.95 -3.18
3 H Georgetown (13-17, 94.5) 56-58 -5.41 5.55 -0.01 0.95 -2.57
3 A Georgia Tech (14-19, 95.2) 57-56 -4.73 6.23 0.01 0.95 11.83
3 H Miami (Fl) (18-15, 95.6) 61-64 -4.27 6.69 -0.01 0.95 -2.03
3 A Gardner-Webb (12-20, 91.9) 78-66 -7.98 2.98 0.01 0.95 5.66
3 A Pittsburgh ( 7-22, 93.0) 74-55 -6.94 4.02 0.01 0.95 7.65
3 H Syracuse (22-10, 96.5) 58-73 -3.41 7.55 -0.01 0.95 -1.62
3 H Stanford (20-14, 95.7) 43-55 -4.17 6.79 -0.01 0.95 -1.98
3 H California (22-14, 95.9) 52-61 -3.99 6.97 -0.01 0.95 -1.90
3 H NC State (21-11, 96.6) 77-95 -3.27 7.69 -0.01 0.95 -1.56
3 H Clemson (21-12, 96.1) 71-78 -3.82 7.14 -0.01 0.95 -1.82
3 H Va Tech (23-10, 96.3) 57-85 -3.62 7.34 -0.01 0.95 -1.72
3 H Virginia (21-13, 96.1) 54-** -3.77 7.19 -0.01 0.95 -1.79
3 H Duke (27- 9, 97.6) 44-80 -2.30 8.66 -0.01 0.95 -1.10
3 A SMU ( 9-21, 93.8) 70-65 -6.14 4.82 0.01 0.95 9.17
3 H No Carolina (28- 8, 97.4) 56-84 -2.48 8.48 -0.01 0.95 -1.18
3 H Louisville (29- 8, 97.5) 67-86 -2.37 8.59 -0.01 0.95 -1.13
3 H Notre Dame (25-11, 97.1) 54-78 -2.80 8.16 -0.01 0.95 -1.33
3 A Boston Col ( 5-26, 92.9) 79-65 -7.02 3.94 0.01 0.95 7.49
3 H NC State (21-11, 96.6) 56-65 -3.27 7.69 -0.01 0.95 -1.56
3 H Florida St (11-20, 94.8) 74-77 -5.07 5.89 -0.01 0.95 -2.41
3 H California (22-14, 95.9) 52-75 -3.99 6.97 -0.01 0.95 -1.90
3 H MD-Ea Shore (20-15, 93.4) 48-59 -6.54 4.42 -0.01 0.95 -3.10
------
63.05
|
winning pts = 96.9316 losing points = -33.8801
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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